Niall O’Higgins, Luis Pinedo Caro
pdf. WorkingPaper#024
This article develops a rapid assessment tool to predict employment losses in the event of an earthquake. The tool benefits from an unique dataset at neighborhood level from the earthquakes that occurred in Türkiye during February 2023. This dataset allow us to investigate the predicting power of different types and area levels of building damage as well as of the prevailing employment structure. The predictions of the recommended specifications are then tested against actual data finding that even the simplest ones can capture relevant patterns regarding employment losses.