Household Inflation Expectations: October 2025

AN INCREASE IN THE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS

 Gökhan Şahin Güneş

Summary findings

  • The average inflation expectation for one year ahead: 61% (an increase of 6.9 points compared to last month).
  • 5% of participants expect inflation to be in the range of 41-60%.
  • 7% of participants expect inflation to be lower than the current level (an increase of 1.5 points compared to last month).
  • By gender: The inflation expectation is 7% for men and 67% for women.
  • By age: the lowest expectation is at the group of 35-44 years (%58.9), the highest expectation is at the group of 25-34 years (%65.4).
  • By employment status: The highest expectation is among students (%68.2), and the lowest is among day/labor workers (%52).

doc. Household Inflation Expectations October 2025

pdf. Household Inflation Expectations October 2025