Household Inflation Expectations: September 2025

SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE EXPECTATIONS OF STUDENTS

Gökhan Şahin Güneş

Summary findings

The average inflation expectation for one year ahead: 1% (a decrease of 3.7 points compared to last month).
5% of participants expect inflation to be in the range of 41-60%.
2% of participants expect inflation to be lower than the current level (an increase of 0.3 points compared to last month).
By gender: The inflation expectation is 3% for men and 53.7% for women.
By age: the lowest expectation is at the group of 25-34 years (%51.2), the highest expectation is at the group of 65+ years (%56.2).
By employment status: The highest expectation is among students (%60.7), and the lowest is among salaried government employees (%45.7).