Household Inflation Expectations: July 2026

FALL IN HOUSEHOLD INFLATION EXPECTATIONS

Gökhan Şahin Güneş

Summary findings

The average inflation expectation for one year ahead: 47% (a decrease of 2.8 points M-o-M).
41.5% of participants expect inflation to be in the range of 21-40%.
32% of participants expect inflation to be lower than the current level (a decrease of 0.3 points M-o-M).
By gender: The inflation expectation is 44.6% for men and 51% for women.
By age: the lowest expectation is at the group of 35-44 years (%43.3), the highest expectation is at the group of 55-64 years (%49.8).
By employment status: The highest expectation is among students (%55.6), and the lowest is among day/labor workers (%43.8).