Household Inflation Expectations: February 2026

FALL IN INFLATION EXPECTATIONS

Gökhan Şahin Güneş

Summary findings

The average inflation expectation for one year ahead: 50.8% (a decrease of 4.5 points M-o-M).
34.3% of participants expect inflation to be in the range of 21-40%.
34.4% of participants expect inflation to be lower than the current level (an increase of 3.1 points M-o-M).
By gender: The inflation expectation is 49% for men and 54.3% for women.
By age: the lowest expectation is at the group of 45-54 years (%45.9), the highest expectation is at the group of 65+ years (%54.2).
By employment status: The highest expectation is among students (%57.3), and the lowest is among salaried government employees (%44).