{"id":7869,"date":"2018-11-28T10:13:59","date_gmt":"2018-11-28T08:13:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/?p=7869"},"modified":"2018-11-28T10:13:59","modified_gmt":"2018-11-28T08:13:59","slug":"economic-growth-and-forecasts-november-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/2018\/11\/economic-growth-and-forecasts-november-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Growth and Forecasts: November 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>No growth in the third quarter<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Furkan Kavuncu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the light of fully-released July, August and September leading indicators,\u00a0our estimate for the year-on-year GDP growth is 1.7 percent\u00a0in the third quarter of 2018. However, seasonally and calendar day adjusted\u00a0quarter-on-quarter growth is expected to be zero.<\/p>\n<p>In our previous note, our forecasts for year-on-year and quarter-onquarter\u00a0GDP growth were, respectively, 1.7 percent and 0.3 percent. In\u00a0that note, we stated that if September realizations are worse than our\u00a0estimates, this will decrease our forecast for the third quarter growth.\u00a0This is the case for many leading indicators as you can see in the note.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>pdf.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/EconomicGrowthForecasts2018M11-1.pdf\">EconomicGrowthForecasts2018M11<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>No growth in the third quarter Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Furkan Kavuncu In the light of fully-released July, August and September leading indicators,\u00a0our estimate for the year-on-year GDP growth is 1.7 percent\u00a0in the third quarter of 2018. However, seasonally and calendar day adjusted\u00a0quarter-on-quarter growth is expected to be zero. In our previous note, our forecasts for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[283,275,278],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-growth-and-forecasts","category-economic-research","category-publications"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7869"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7869\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7873,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7869\/revisions\/7873"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}