{"id":6973,"date":"2017-05-31T11:12:41","date_gmt":"2017-05-31T09:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/?p=6973\/"},"modified":"2017-07-31T11:13:04","modified_gmt":"2017-07-31T09:13:04","slug":"economic-growth-and-forecasts-may-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/2017\/05\/economic-growth-and-forecasts-may-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Growth and Forecasts: May 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Exports Boom in the First Quarter<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Mine Durmaz<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the previous economic growth and forecasts research brief, we claimed\u00a0that a revival was expected in the first quarter of 2017. Using fully released\u00a0first quarter series the result of our second forecast is quite similar\u00a0to the first one. Compared to our first research brief; we observe a slight\u00a0decrease in the contribution of consumption and foreign trade leading\u00a0indicators to the growth and a slight increase in the contribution of investment\u00a0leading indicators to the growth. The depreciation of Turkish\u00a0Lira (TL) against US dollars causes a significant decrease in the consumer\u00a0and investment goods imports. Using fully-released February, March and\u00a0April series, we forecast quarter-on-quarter growth rate to be 1.6 percent,\u00a0year-on-year growth rate to be 5.0 percent in the first quarter of 2017.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>pdf.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EconomicGrowthForecasts2017M05.pdf\">EconomicGrowthForecasts2017M05<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Exports Boom in the First Quarter Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Mine Durmaz In the previous economic growth and forecasts research brief, we claimed\u00a0that a revival was expected in the first quarter of 2017. Using fully released\u00a0first quarter series the result of our second forecast is quite similar\u00a0to the first one. Compared to our first research brief; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[283,275,278],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6973","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-growth-and-forecasts","category-economic-research","category-publications"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6973","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6973"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6973\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6977,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6973\/revisions\/6977"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}