{"id":6443,"date":"2016-10-19T11:20:08","date_gmt":"2016-10-19T09:20:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/?p=6443"},"modified":"2017-05-29T16:41:28","modified_gmt":"2017-05-29T14:41:28","slug":"economic-growth-forecasts-september-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/2016\/10\/economic-growth-forecasts-september-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Growth &#038; Forecasts: September 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Growth Continues to Slow Down<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Mine Durmaz<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In second quarter of 2016, quarter-on-quarter growth rate of 0.3 percent\u00a0and year-on-year growth rate of 3.1 percent remained below expectations.\u00a0Leading indicators do not constitute a positive outlook also for\u00a0growth in third quarter. Almost all indicators point out that the economy\u00a0will be downsizing. Especially the decreasing trend in private consumption\u00a0continues. We predict that even public expenditures and private investments\u00a0components, which drove the growth in second quarter, will\u00a0shrink in third quarter. Both import and export are predicted to decline\u00a0from quarter to quarter. Since the decreasing trend in imports is relatively\u00a0higher, the contribution of net exports is expected to be positive, albeit too\u00a0small. In the light of fully released July, partially released August, and\u00a0September leading indicators, we predict quarter-on-quarter growth rate\u00a0to be minus 0.2 percent and year-on-year growth rate to be 2.6 percent.<\/p>\n<p><b><i>pdf.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/EconomicGrowthForecasts.pdf\">EconomicGrowthForecasts<\/a><\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Growth Continues to Slow Down Ozan Bak\u0131\u015f and Mine Durmaz In second quarter of 2016, quarter-on-quarter growth rate of 0.3 percent\u00a0and year-on-year growth rate of 3.1 percent remained below expectations.\u00a0Leading indicators do not constitute a positive outlook also for\u00a0growth in third quarter. Almost all indicators point out that the economy\u00a0will be downsizing. Especially the decreasing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[283,275,278],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-growth-and-forecasts","category-economic-research","category-publications"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6443"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6443\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6445,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6443\/revisions\/6445"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}